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15 October, 2012 at 9:25 am #512661
@terry wrote:
@sceptical guy wrote:
@minim wrote:
I guess we should never forget.. lest it happen again, although I suspect it already did!!!!
Boris for President!
Crikey! so – how would the Tory answer to Billy Bunter help us out of the deficit problem???
How would any politician help us out of the deficit problem?
They would if they could grasp the simple fact that an economy is not a household budget. If you cut and cut to take further demand out of an economy where everyone is sitting on their hands because they are so frightened, it only leads to lower growth, less taxes and a bigger deficit.
We are sitting watching Greece implode and it will carry on for 50 years. They have already made far bigger cuts than we can even imagine but their problem is that the economy just wont grow when you half government spending overnight. It would be cheaper to write off the debts now, given that they are suffering horribly. If you think they aren’t, try not being able to afford drugs to cure a chest infection and watching your mother die because you cant.
The economic advice, even from the IMF is for more stimulus, which is what the Americans did successfully, despite being in a very similar position to us.
____Would a politician help us out of the debt crisis? If they took some proper economic advice instead of trying to look tough, yes they could.
Sad thing is we like them looking tough – just as long as we are lucky enough to hold onto our jobs.
____The only thing that makes me feel better is that we are all in it together. Cos when Dave and George lose their jobs for being incompetent, they will have to sign on and beg for reduced housing benefit to feed their families.
Wont they?
:?
16 October, 2012 at 9:49 am #512662Momes, an intelligent post, but I don’t agree.
I think there’s a growing awareness that austerity leads to a vicious circle of more poverty and more austerity, and the Greeks and Spanish are living examples of it.
But the sort of spending stimulus you’re talking about is actually taking place – the Bank of E and (especially) the US Fed have been pushing large amounts of money into the system. Indeed, the crisis is really the result of the major dollops of money governments pushed into the banking system to stop it going dead back in 2008-09.
The fact is that at best this spending is staving off disaster. It’s not stimulating the economy, which is stagnant at best and promises to remain so. The IMF has called for more spending because of their fears rather than any confidence that more spending will work. I’m sure that more spending will occur, however it’s dressed up politically by Cameron and his chum Osborne.
In the past, this type of spending policy led to big problems (the stagflation of the 70s) but times are different now and inflation is not seen as a problem by bank governors in the UK and US. However, the economy isn’t responding (just as the US ecomnomy didn’t respond in the 30s after the initial spending programme there).
There are some worrying times ahead, and I’m concerned about the sort of response shown here – take it out on the EU, the dolers, the immigrants, the poor, anyone but us.That can only grow
16 October, 2012 at 2:22 pm #512663The EU cost us £19.7 billion last year and it’s time we left them (and the corruption that exists there) to it.
16 October, 2012 at 2:45 pm #512664@terry wrote:
The EU cost us £19.7 billion last year and it’s time we left them (and the corruption that exists there) to it.
thank god blair said ‘no’ to the euro
16 October, 2012 at 5:27 pm #512665Scep – you make wise observations.
The real question is whether we are in a 70s style situation with its supply side shocks undermining the economy or a 30s style depression. The economy then of course eventually received a huge stimulus in the shape of a world war – not exactly reproducible or desirable.
Inflation seems unlikely to hit double figures so we are more likely we suffer the South East Asian ten years of pain, under constant fear of bank collapses, and no levers to pull to correct the economy.
If that is the case, social policy is more important than economic policy, to pull us through to the light at the end of the tunnel with some semblance of social cohesiveness.
Gee – that’s going to be popular.
18 October, 2012 at 11:02 am #512666Momes. Terry…
Momes, if the economy can get going, then the deficit will disappear as a problem pretty quickly…
I think asking for social cohesion while the economy is flatlining, or possibly plunged into a new crisis (the US fiscal cliff or a eurozone crisis will knock the UK economy flat) is whistling lin the wind. When faced with real misery, people will turn on others – usually those weaker than themselves.
Terry, I think the answer is more Europe, not less. But why aren’t you in the Tory party supporting Cameron? – he’s busy disengaging the UK from Europe on questions of justice and human rights, and is deffo getting ready for some sort of referendum or election on the whole issue of membership of the EU. Why waste your time piddling around wiht the UKIP – join the Tory Right wing, where you obviously belong.
18 October, 2012 at 11:13 am #512667@sceptical guy wrote:
Momes. Terry…
Momes, if the economy can get going, then the deficit will disappear as a problem pretty quickly…
I think asking for social cohesion while the economy is flatlining, or possibly plunged into a new crisis (the US fiscal cliff or a eurozone crisis will knock the UK economy flat) is whistling lin the wind. When faced with real misery, people will turn on others – usually those weaker than themselves.
Terry, I think the answer is more Europe, not less. But why aren’t you in the Tory party supporting Cameron? – he’s busy disengaging the UK from Europe on questions of justice and human rights, and is deffo getting ready for some sort of referendum or election on the whole issue of membership of the EU. Why waste your time piddling around wiht the UKIP – join the Tory Right wing, where you obviously belong.
The answer is to leave Europe altogether. It’s a failed institution.
18 October, 2012 at 11:27 am #512668@sceptical guy wrote:
I think asking for social cohesion while the economy is flatlining, or possibly plunged into a new crisis (the US fiscal cliff or a eurozone crisis will knock the UK economy flat) is whistling lin the wind. When faced with real misery, people will turn on others – usually those weaker than themselves.
I agree and that is exactly my fear.
I know what you say is true but surely we have to at least have a go.
Just like that guy with the beard who was nailed to a bit of wood 2000 years ago for saying “wouldn’t it be better if we were all be a bit nicer to each other?”.
Naive or visionary? Probably neither. But someone’s got to say these things or we just give up. Remember the 1930s and the Second World War? Neither do I but, hell, we have the most obvious warning from history right there in front of us.
We are Europeans (apologies Terry but we are), the most violent, uncompromising people on the planet. Do people really think it wont happen here if we just kick the public sector and the dole cheats hard enough?
I think I know the answer to that question.
:roll: :(
18 October, 2012 at 11:53 am #512669Terry, the EU is hardly a failed institution, or the argument would take a different form.
The euro crisis is leading to a two-speed Europe, and more centralisation of power within the EU is on the cards. The bureaucratic monstrosity of the EU is very dangerous, and is going to get more bureaucratic.
Waving a Union Jack is creating a prejudice, whereas hard thinking is needed.
London is now the home to a third of European capital investment – mainly in commercial property (today’s newspaper). The UK is too important to kick out of Europe, and Europe is too important for us to take the kamikaze move to just get out.
I think the Cameron strategy is short-sighted. He’s taking advantage of the UK’s importance to confirm a two-speed Europe, somethng which suits Germany and France just fine, as they can make decisions to suit them. Once this crisis is over – and it will be eventually – then the UK will find itself at a disadvantage.
The best way is more Europe. A declaration of intent to join the euro or whatever succeeds it, on condition of transparency and democracy. The main problem of the EU is its lack of any sort of genuine democracy – it’s that which needs to be confronted, not the waviing of a Union Jack
But Terry, you keep avoiding the obvious question – why piddle aorund in the UKIP when you could be making a real effect in the Tory Right – where you obviously belong?
18 October, 2012 at 12:06 pm #512670@sceptical guy wrote:
Terry, the EU is hardly a failed institution, or the argument would take a different form.
Which argument is this then..?
Being a member of the EU is like leaving your lawnmower in the shed and then employing someone to mow your lawn for an exoribitant fee.
And why do we have a parliament when it’s the EU that determines our national policy for us?
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